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Unravelling drivers of the future Mediterranean precipitation paradox during cyclones

TitleUnravelling drivers of the future Mediterranean precipitation paradox during cyclones
Publication TypeArticolo su Rivista peer-reviewed
Year of Publication2025
AuthorsChericoni, Marco, Fosser Giorgia, Flaounas Emmanouil, Gaetani Marco, and Anav A.
Journalnpj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Volume8
Type of ArticleArticle
ISSN23973722
Abstract

Both global climate models and a high-resolution atmosphere-ocean coupled regional climate model project a drying trend across the Mediterranean region, alongside an increase in cyclone-related precipitation. However, only the high-resolution model captures the physical mechanisms driving these changes across three emission scenarios, namely, enhanced moisture transport processes fuelling cyclone activity. These results highlight the added value of fine-scale modelling for understanding future Mediterranean hydroclimatic extremes. © The Author(s) 2025.

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URLhttps://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-105010241789&doi=10.1038%2fs41612-025-01121-w&partnerID=40&md5=19fc355b61290cebd808130291c8974b
DOI10.1038/s41612-025-01121-w
Citation KeyChericoni2025